What will the announcers say during Mexico vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match
Leader sits at 91% across 12 bound outcomes, runner-up at 90%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Visa
Outcomes
12
winner-take-all
Runner-up
90¢
Visa
Spread
1pp
contested
24h volume
$133K
liquid
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Kalshi
12 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will the announcers say during
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?: SoFi Stadium
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18SUIBIH-SOFI
What will the announcers say during Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?: Visa
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18CZERSA-VISA
What will the announcers say during USA vs Australia?: Lumen Field
KXWCMENTION-26JUN19USAAUS-LUMN
What will the announcers say during Mexico vs Korea Republic?: Akron
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18MEXKOR-AKRN
What will the announcers say during Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?: Qatar
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18CZERSA-QATA
What will the announcers say during Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?: What a Save
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18CZERSA-WHAT
What will the announcers say during Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?: Trump
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18CZERSA-TRUM
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?: Visa
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18SUIBIH-VISA
What will the announcers say during Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?: Messi
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18CZERSA-MESS
What will the announcers say during Mexico vs Korea Republic?: Visa
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18MEXKOR-VISA
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?: Qatar
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18SUIBIH-QATA
What will the announcers say during Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?: BC Place
KXWCMENTION-26JUN18CANQAT-BCPL
Analysis
This market estimates the likelihood that announcers will reference a specific phrase or topic during a Mexico versus South Africa FIFA World Cup match. The 71% probability assigned to "Header" suggests market participants believe announcers will mention headers or heading plays with relatively high frequency during the match. The current pricing reflects expectations based on typical commentary patterns in football broadcasts, team playing styles, and historical announcer language. The match outcome, player performance, and game flow will determine what topics announcers emphasize. The event will resolve once the match concludes and recorded commentary can be reviewed against the contract specifications. Volatility in these contracts remains low across most outcomes, indicating modest trading activity and limited new information flowing into the market.
- ›Mexico and South Africa's historical playing styles and tendency toward aerial play or header-based strategies
- ›The specific definition and threshold required for announcers to satisfy the "Header" contract outcome
- ›Announcer assignment and broadcasting language patterns for World Cup matches in the 2026 tournament
- ›Match conditions including weather, field conditions, and team formations that influence play type distribution
- ›Real-time game events that may require announcers to emphasize or repeat certain tactical terminology throughout broadcast coverage
What moved the line
- Jun 16Qatar↑72pp13→85¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 16Visa↑46pp38→84¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 16Qatar↑43pp40→83¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 16Visa↑38pp53→91¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 17Messi↑27pp29→56¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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