Will Jewell Loyd win Sixth Player of the Year
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 13% across 8 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
13%
8 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$997
8 contracts
Closes
Dec 1, 2027
556 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
8 clusters across 8 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Azzi Fudd win Sixth Player of the Year
Will Azzi Fudd win Sixth Player of the Year?: Azzi Fudd
KXWNBA6POY-26-AFUDD35
Cluster 2
Will Chennedy Carter win Sixth Player of the Year
Will Chennedy Carter win Sixth Player of the Year?: Chennedy Carter
KXWNBA6POY-26-CCARTER23
Cluster 3
Will Cameron Brink win Sixth Player of the Year
Will Cameron Brink win Sixth Player of the Year?: Cameron Brink
KXWNBA6POY-26-CBRINK22
Cluster 4
Will DeWanna Bonner win Sixth Player of the Year
Will DeWanna Bonner win Sixth Player of the Year?: DeWanna Bonner
KXWNBA6POY-26-DBONNER14
Cluster 5
Will Jewell Loyd win Sixth Player of the Year
Will Jewell Loyd win Sixth Player of the Year?: Jewell Loyd
KXWNBA6POY-26-JLOYD24
Cluster 6
Will Marine Johannes win Sixth Player of the Year
Will Marine Johannes win Sixth Player of the Year?: Marine Johannes
KXWNBA6POY-26-MJOHANNES23
Cluster 7
Will Maddy Siegrist win Sixth Player of the Year
Will Maddy Siegrist win Sixth Player of the Year?: Maddy Siegrist
KXWNBA6POY-26-MSIEGRIST20
Cluster 8
Will Sophie Cunningham win Sixth Player of the Year
Will Sophie Cunningham win Sixth Player of the Year?: Sophie Cunningham
KXWNBA6POY-26-SCUNNINGHAM8
Analysis
This 13% probability indicates the market estimates roughly a 1-in-8 chance that Jewell Loyd wins the WNBA Sixth Player of the Year award. The prediction reflects Loyd's status as an elite bench contributor for the Seattle Storm, though she faces competition from higher-probability candidates like Chennedy Carter (39%) and Maddy Siegrist (7%). The award ultimately depends on voting by coaches, players, and media at season's end, which rewards bench players who significantly impact winning while coming off the bench. Loyd's probability would shift upward if the Storm secure a top playoff seed and she maintains strong offensive efficiency, or downward if other benchwarmers demonstrate superior scoring volume or team success. The award is typically decided in late May or early June following the regular season's conclusion.
- ›Jewell Loyd's actual bench minutes and scoring efficiency during the 2026 WNBA regular season compared to other bench candidates
- ›Seattle Storm's playoff seeding and win total—voters tend to favor sixth players on successful teams
- ›Voting patterns from previous years showing whether elite scorers or well-rounded two-way contributors have won the award
- ›Relative playing time allocation: whether Loyd is used more as a bench scorer or starter, which affects eligibility and narrative
- ›Performance of competing candidates like Carter and Siegrist, particularly their volume and impact metrics over the full season
What moved the line
- May 19Chennedy Carter↓6pp53→47¢ · Kalshi
- May 23Chennedy Carter↑3pp50→53¢ · Kalshi
- May 24Chennedy Carter↑3pp53→56¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Shenzhen Peng City vs Beijing Guoan WinnerQingdao Hainiulast 31% · 0d
- Brentford at Manchester Unitedlast 64% · 0d
- Brentford wins by over 2.5 goalslast 19% · 0d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FClast 60% · 1d
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Marketslast 83% · 1d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.