Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 96% probability that Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 96¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.
Also on kalshi at 6¢(Δ +90¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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sf trade 0x48cafe0a0690db8fe052c19afe84ead3f32314cac97015ea8c68a442a77d58a2 yes 100