Will Kerry Carpenter win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?

This market shows severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1,279 in open interest, and an unusually wide 84¢ spread suggests thin order books on both sides. The 42¢ price implies a 42% probability for Carpenter, but the asymmetric implied yields (204.3% for Yes vs. 107.1% for No) indicate significant mispricing or uncertainty about the underlying odds. With 247 days to expiration and a neutral regime score, this appears to be a speculative position rather than an actively traded market, making the current price potentially unreliable for forecasting purposes.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

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