Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.1M open interest and an unusually wide 81¢ spread, suggesting the 45¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The 1213% realized volatility and 8.98 vol ratio indicate highly erratic historical price action, while the 174% risk-adjusted implied yield on the yes side reflects substantial uncertainty about Ohtani's 2026 DH eligibility and performance given his recent injury history. With 247 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this market appears to be a speculative position holder rather than an actively traded contract.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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