What is the current probability for "Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-04-29?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 37¢ (37% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 30, 2026. 3 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-04-29?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 22558.5% and 7780.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-04-29?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-04-29?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 37% probability that Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-04-29?. This contract trades at 37¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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37¢

Bid/Ask 29/44¢·Spread 15¢·Vol $0·OI $1,318.036·Closes Apr 30, 2026·3d remaining

0xcfc246afb13082d7cc211ca83cbd66a59669b2ac3c0f287bc69401f7156bbe7c

7-day price111 snapshots · 1 regime

46¢37¢ current

Apr 2536¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 29, 2026 If Portland Thorns FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 22558.5%

IY (No) 7780.9%

Adj IY 11279%

CRI 2

Overround 0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	22558.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	7780.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11279%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

15¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 5:56:13 AM

Indicators computed 4/27/2026, 5:53:07 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xcfc246afb13082d7cc211ca83cbd66a59669b2ac3c0f287bc69401f7156bbe7c yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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