Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026.

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1¢
Bid/Ask 1/2¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $432.677·OI $2,193.762·Closes Apr 23, 2026·1d remaining
0xd3889c9e24c14ca648db423a52e3f87e8c2c988de1504eafab2d159ebb5e9df5
7-day price215 snapshots · 2 regime
20¢1¢ current
Apr 81¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 923.0%
Adj IY 50000%
CRI 32
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)923.0%
Adj IY50000%
CRI32
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:25:11 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 6:38:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xd3889c9e24c14ca648db423a52e3f87e8c2c988de1504eafab2d159ebb5e9df5 yes 100

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