Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (2)▼ Full indicator table (2)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| CRI | 32 |
| Overround | -0.0% |
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xd71197329e1145258b960c36269870229ee816b0aa089e8f1b64ea196d7e2d08 yes 100