Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.50 by Dec 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 37% probability that Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.50 by Dec 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 37¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.

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37¢
Bid/Ask 32/42¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $102.65·OI $2,540.81·Closes Dec 31, 2026·254d remaining
KXAAAGASMAXFL-26DEC31-4.50
7-day price94 snapshots · 11 regime
72¢32¢ current
Apr 825¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If average regular gas prices for Florida are strictly greater than $4.50 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 305.9%
IY (No) 67.7%
Adj IY 153%
CRI 2
Overround 0.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)305.9%
IY (No)67.7%
Adj IY153%
CRI2
Overround0.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:14:35 AM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:08:17 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXAAAGASMAXFL-26DEC31-4.50 yes 100

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