How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be?
Prediction markets currently give a 76% probability that How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be?. This contract trades at 76¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. The 65¢ price reflects moderate confidence that Drake's hypothetical "Iceman" album will exceed 60 minutes, though the unusually high No-side yield of 261.5% suggests significant skepticism among contrarian traders about the album's existence or release by January 2027.
Analysis
The 65¢ price reflects moderate confidence that Drake's hypothetical "Iceman" album will exceed 60 minutes, though the unusually high No-side yield of 261.5% suggests significant skepticism among contrarian traders about the album's existence or release by January 2027. With only $42 in 24-hour volume against $1,023 open interest and an 11¢ spread, liquidity is thin for a market with 259 days to expiry, creating potential execution challenges for larger positions. The neutral regime and minimal 7-day price drift (66¢ to 65¢) indicate stable sentiment, though the low Cliff Risk Index of 2 suggests minimal tail risk from unexpected resolution events.
Resolution rules
If Drake's album titled 'Iceman' is At least 60 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMLENGTH-26DEC31-60 yes 100