Will permanent daylight savings become law before Jan 1, 2027?
KXDST-27JAN01 · closes Jan 1, 2027 · 262 days remaining
Price
Last
16¢
Bid
14¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
2¢
24h Volume
$5.5
Open Interest
$4,200.28
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 856.5% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 22.7% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 6 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.14 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 367% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
21 indicator snapshots · 20 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.409
Label
neutral
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/14/2026, 8:41:50 PM
About this market
If legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXDST-27JAN01 yes 100