Will Jon Ossoff and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Jon Ossoff and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing November 7, 2028. This market shows classic characteristics of an illiquid, low-probability prediction with zero trading activity—the 0¢ price reflects minimal conviction rather than genuine market consensus, while the extreme 939% implied yield on the Yes side is a mathematical artifact of pricing near zero with substantial time value remaining.
Analysis
This market shows classic characteristics of an illiquid, low-probability prediction with zero trading activity—the 0¢ price reflects minimal conviction rather than genuine market consensus, while the extreme 939% implied yield on the Yes side is a mathematical artifact of pricing near zero with substantial time value remaining. With $0 open interest, no 24-hour volume, and a 1¢ spread, this contract lacks the liquidity needed for meaningful price discovery, making the quoted probability unreliable as a genuine market signal. The 933-day timeframe until expiry and neutral regime score suggest this is simply too speculative and distant for current market participants to engage with seriously.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic presidential nominee is Jon Ossoff AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXDTICKET-28NOV07-JOSSGWHI yes 100