Blackburn vs Coventry Winner?

The Blackburn winner contract has experienced extreme volatility, surging 450% over seven days from 4¢ to 22¢, now pricing in just a 23% win probability with an extraordinary 8954% implied yield on the Yes side. With only $742 in open interest and $702 in 24-hour volume against a 14-day expiry, liquidity is dangerously thin, and the 661% realized volatility combined with a cliff risk index of 4 suggests the market may be mispricing due to recent information arrival (0.9/hour) rather than fundamental value. The tight 1¢ spread masks the underlying instability—this contract appears to be experiencing speculative momentum rather than informed price discovery.

Resolution rules

If Blackburn wins the Blackburn vs Coventry professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade