GDP growth in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that GDP growth in 2026?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing February 28, 2027.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 3/4¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $6,265.41·Closes Feb 28, 2027·313d remaining
KXGDPYEAR-26-B0.8
7-day price5 snapshots · 1 regime
3¢3¢ current
Apr 131¢Apr 18

Resolution rules

If GDP growth in 2026 is between 0.6 to 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3773.2%
IY (No) 3.6%
Adj IY 1887%
CRI 32
Overround -0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3773.2%
IY (No)3.6%
Adj IY1887%
CRI32
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 7:05:04 PM
Observability lowEvent type data_release
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 6:53:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXGDPYEAR-26-B0.8 yes 100

Related concepts

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