GDP growth in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 27% probability that GDP growth in 2026?. This contract trades at 27¢ on Kalshi, closing February 28, 2027.

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27¢
Bid/Ask 26/27¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $24.66·OI $9,320·Closes Feb 28, 2027·313d remaining
KXGDPYEAR-26-B2.3
7-day price30 snapshots · 3 regime
27¢26¢ current
Apr 924¢Apr 15

Resolution rules

If GDP growth in 2026 is between 2.1 to 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 332.1%
IY (No) 41.0%
Adj IY 160%
CRI 3
Overround -0.2%
LAS 0.04
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)332.1%
IY (No)41.0%
Adj IY160%
CRI3
Overround-0.2%
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 7:04:06 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 6:53:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXGDPYEAR-26-B2.3 yes 100

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