Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
Prediction markets currently give a 71% probability that Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?. This contract trades at 71¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2027. This market is pricing Johnson as a heavy favorite at 70¢ with over 1.5 years until resolution, but the $0 in 24-hour volume and minimal $496 open interest suggest extremely thin liquidity that could make execution difficult.
Analysis
This market is pricing Johnson as a heavy favorite at 70¢ with over 1.5 years until resolution, but the $0 in 24-hour volume and minimal $496 open interest suggest extremely thin liquidity that could make execution difficult. The asymmetric implied yields—29% for Yes versus 143.6% for No—reflect the lopsided probability, though the 2¢ spread is reasonable given the low activity. The modest 1¢ price appreciation over seven days and neutral regime score indicate this market is relatively stable without recent catalysts driving significant repricing.
Also on polymarket at 73¢(Δ -2¢)
Resolution rules
If Jermaine Johnson wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGOVSCNOMD-26-JJOH yes 100