When will Beast Industries IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that When will Beast Industries IPO?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing July 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $250 open interest, making the 9224% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $250 open interest, making the 9224% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 5¢ price has held flat over seven days with a wide 5¢ spread, suggesting minimal conviction and difficulty establishing fair value for a low-probability event (5% odds) with 75 days to expiry. The high cliff risk index of 19 indicates substantial tail risk, likely reflecting uncertainty around Beast Industries' actual IPO timeline and the binary nature of the resolution criteria.
Resolution rules
If Beast Industries confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOBEASTINDUSTRIES-26JUL01 yes 100