SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all answer·8 source contracts·Kalshi 8·refreshed just now·Closes Jun 1, 2027 · 296d

When will Beast Industries IPO

Leader sits at 19% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 15%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

19%

Before Jun 1, 2027

runner-up 15¢leader 19¢

Outcomes

8

winner-take-all

Runner-up

15¢

Before May 1, 2027

Spread

4pp

contested

24h volume

$0

thin orderbook

Closes

Jun 1, 2027

296 days

Venue

Kalshi

8 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayBefore Jun 1, 2027: 20% (7 days, 3 points)Before Jun 1, 2027: 20% on 2026-08-04Before May 1, 2027: 16% (7 days, 3 points)Before May 1, 2027: 16% on 2026-08-03Before Apr 1, 2027: 10% (7 days, 2 points)Before Apr 1, 2027: 10% on 2026-08-07
Before Jun 1, 202720¢Before May 1, 202716¢Before Apr 1, 202710¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 7d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This 25% probability reflects market expectations that Beast Industries will complete an initial public offering before June 1, 2027—roughly seven months from now. The contract pricing suggests traders view a near-term IPO as unlikely but possible, with confidence declining sharply for earlier deadlines. The timing depends on Beast Industries' readiness (financial performance, regulatory filings), broader market conditions for IPOs, and management's strategic timeline. The most significant factor will be whether the company files an S-1 registration statement with the SEC, which typically precedes an IPO by 2-4 months. Market appetite for software or technology IPOs in early 2027 will also meaningfully influence the probability—favorable conditions could accelerate plans, while a downturn could delay them indefinitely.

  • SEC filing status: whether Beast Industries has filed or indicated plans to file an S-1 registration statement, which would signal a likely IPO window within 6-9 months
  • Broader IPO market conditions: equity market performance, investor appetite for new tech offerings, and IPO pricing trends in late 2026 and early 2027
  • Beast Industries' disclosed financial metrics and growth trajectory: public statements or leaks about revenue, profitability, and valuation will influence underwriter confidence and timeline
  • Competitive or sector dynamics: whether similar companies have recently IPO'd or delayed, affecting investor appetite and regulatory scrutiny for Beast Industries specifically
  • Contract volume and trader consensus: zero 24h volume suggests low recent trading activity and potentially stale prices not reflecting current information

What moved the line

  • Aug 2Before Oct 1, 20267pp29¢ · Kalshi
  • Aug 2Before Jun 1, 20276pp2519¢ · Kalshi
  • Aug 2Before Sep 1, 20265pp16¢ · Kalshi
  • Aug 2Before May 1, 20275pp2015¢ · Kalshi
  • Aug 4Before Oct 1, 20264pp95¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in markets

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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