When will Glean IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that When will Glean IPO?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Kalshi, closing November 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with just $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 9¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with just $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 9¢ spread. The 1658% implied yield on a Yes resolution reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine market conviction, and the high cliff risk index of 9 suggests significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics. With 198 days to expiry and no recent price movement, this appears to be a dead market that lacks sufficient participation to generate meaningful probability signals.
Resolution rules
If Glean confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOGLEAN-26NOV01 yes 100