Will Italy GDP growth rate YoY adv for Q1 2026 be above 0.6%?
Prediction markets currently give a 37% probability that Will Italy GDP growth rate YoY adv for Q1 2026 be above 0.6%?. This contract trades at 37¢ on Kalshi, closing April 30, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 37¢ price unreliable for genuine probability assessment.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 37¢ price unreliable for genuine probability assessment. The astronomical implied yields (4689% for Yes, 1617% for No) reflect the illiquidity premium rather than fundamental conviction, and the wide 12¢ spread further signals minimal market depth. With only 13 days to expiry and no trading activity, this contract appears abandoned and should be treated with significant caution.
Resolution rules
If Italy GDP growth rate YoY adv for Q1 2026 is above 0.6 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXITGDPYOYA-26APR30-T0.6 yes 100