Will Sir John Hayes join Reform UK before June 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Will Sir John Hayes join Reform UK before June 2026?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Kalshi, closing June 1, 2026.
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2¢Bid/Ask 0/8¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $2,539·Closes Jun 1, 2026
KXJOINREFORM-26-JHAY
Resolution rules
If Sir John Hayes announces they are joining Reform UK before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:18:16 PM
Observability highEvent type political
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXJOINREFORM-26-JHAY yes 100