Will Vegas Golden Knights win the NHL Pacific Division?
KXNHLPACIFIC-26-VGK · closes May 1, 2026 · 16 days remaining
Price
Last
86¢
Bid
83¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
2¢
24h Volume
$1,012
Open Interest
$23,755
Cross-venue · polymarket
Same outcome trades on NHL: Pacific Division Winner: Vegas Golden Knights · match confidence 0.75 · close-time delta 38h
Counterpart price
81¢
This price
86¢
Spread (this − cp)
5¢
Counterpart IY
592.0%
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 499.3% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 10362.6% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 5 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 304% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.26 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 1.5/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 10363% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
282 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.341
Label
neutral
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 1:01:18 PM
About this market
If the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXNHLPACIFIC-26-VGK yes 100