Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals?

The market has experienced dramatic price appreciation, surging 23 cents over seven days to reach 84¢, reflecting strong conviction that Minnesota will win by over 1.5 goals against Dallas. However, the extreme implied yield asymmetry—499.8% for Yes versus 13,775% for No—combined with exceptionally high realized volatility (1,460%) and a 3.75 vol ratio suggests significant uncertainty beneath the surface, potentially indicating mispricing or thin liquidity despite $39.7K in 24-hour volume. With 14 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 5, traders should monitor for late information arrival (1.4 events/hour) that could rapidly reprrice this heavily skewed market.

Resolution rules

If Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals in the Minnesota at Dallas professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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