2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations?
Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that 2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $535.38 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 55¢ price potentially unreliable for decision-making.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $535.38 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 55¢ price potentially unreliable for decision-making. The 252% realized volatility and 3.22 vol ratio indicate wild historical price swings despite minimal trading activity, suggesting the quoted yield of 66% may not be achievable in practice. With over 600 days until expiry and low information arrival (0.5/h), this appears to be a speculative, thinly-traded contract where the wide 8¢ spread reflects genuine pricing uncertainty rather than genuine market consensus.
Resolution rules
If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-DUN yes 100