Who will perform the next James Bond Song?
Prediction markets currently give a 21% probability that Who will perform the next James Bond Song?. This contract trades at 21¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2035. This market shows significant volatility with the price nearly doubling over seven days (from 8¢ to 18¢), though it has since settled back to 25¢, suggesting uncertain sentiment around Raye's likelihood of performing the next Bond theme.
Analysis
This market shows significant volatility with the price nearly doubling over seven days (from 8¢ to 18¢), though it has since settled back to 25¢, suggesting uncertain sentiment around Raye's likelihood of performing the next Bond theme. The 52.3% implied yield on the Yes side is notably attractive but comes with a wide 7¢ spread and thin liquidity ($3.25 in 24h volume), making execution difficult and creating potential slippage for larger positions. With over 3,100 days until expiry and a moderate 5 Cliff Risk Index, this appears to be a speculative long-duration bet where the asymmetric payoff may not justify the illiquidity and execution costs for most traders.
Resolution rules
If Raye performs the James Bond film theme, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXPERFORMBONDSONG-35-RAY yes 100