Will Marco Rubio and Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will Marco Rubio and Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing November 7, 2028. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $100 open interest, making the 7¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $100 open interest, making the 7¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 1,265% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic artifact of thin markets with minimal trading activity, while the 32 Cliff Risk Index suggests significant resolution uncertainty given the long 933-day timeframe and multiple contingencies required (both candidates must secure their respective nominations). The flat 7-day price action at 3¢ indicates this contract has attracted minimal trader attention despite the substantial time value available.
Resolution rules
If the Republican presidential nominee is Marco Rubio AND the Republican vice presidential nominee is Sarah Huckabee Sanders in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXRTICKET-28NOV07-MRUBSSAN yes 100