Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the d.... This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $69 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 2686% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $69 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 2686% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading. The 6¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 5¢ price, and the Cliff Risk Index of 19 suggests meaningful uncertainty about resolution mechanics or data availability. The extremely low 5% probability reflects either genuine skepticism about DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS achieving #3 status or simply the illiquid, speculative nature of this niche prediction with 258 days to expiry.
Resolution rules
If DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS is the #3 most streamed Album on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPALBUMTHIRDUSA-26-BAD yes 100