Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 6% across 14 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
6%
14 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
14 contracts
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
80 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
14 clusters across 14 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
will debí tirar más fotos be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 2
will dandelion be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 3
will gnx be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 4
will the great divide: the last of the bugs be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 5
will hit me hard and soft be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 6
will iceman be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 7
will kpop demon hunters (soundtrack from the netflix film) be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film)
KXTOPALBUMTHIRDUSA-26-KPO
Cluster 8
will i’m the problem be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 9
will petal be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 10
will man’s best friend be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 11
will short n' sweet be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 12
will so close to what be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 13
will the life of a showgirl be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Cluster 14
will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be the #3 most streamed album on the 2026 spotify wrapped top 10 albums usa chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026
Analysis
This contract predicts whether the KPop Demon Hunters soundtrack will rank as the #3 most-streamed album on Spotify's 2026 USA Wrapped year-end chart when released in early December 2026. The 5% probability reflects that KPop Demon Hunters faces substantial competition from established and emerging artists for a specific chart position. The outcome hinges on two primary drivers: the Netflix film's cultural penetration and streaming performance during the critical July-November 2026 window, and whether the soundtrack gains sufficient listener engagement to accumulate enough streams relative to other major releases. The key uncertainty resolves when Spotify publishes its official 2026 Wrapped data, typically in early December, which will definitively show the final #3 album position. Until then, the soundtrack's trajectory depends on film viewership metrics, radio play, playlist placement, and competitive releases from other major artists during the same period.
- ›The Netflix film's actual release date and viewership numbers, which determine the soundtrack's initial exposure window and baseline listener acquisition
- ›Comparative streaming volume of other major album releases during 2026, particularly from established artists likely to occupy top positions
- ›Playlist placement decisions by Spotify's editorial teams, which significantly influence discovery and accumulation of streams for soundtrack content
- ›Whether the soundtrack generates organic social media momentum or cultural relevance beyond the film's core audience
- ›The soundtrack's performance in top-streamed countries outside the USA, which may indicate stronger domestic potential but don't directly affect the USA Wrapped ranking
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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