Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) be the #3 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped.... This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme mispricing with a 2686% implied yield on the Yes side, though the negligible $38 open interest and zero 24-hour volume suggest this is a highly illiquid micro-market where the 5¢ price may not reflect genuine conviction.
Analysis
This market shows extreme mispricing with a 2686% implied yield on the Yes side, though the negligible $38 open interest and zero 24-hour volume suggest this is a highly illiquid micro-market where the 5¢ price may not reflect genuine conviction. The extremely specific resolution criteria—requiring a Netflix film soundtrack to rank exactly #3 (not #1, #2, or #4-10) on Spotify Wrapped—makes this a low-probability event, yet the 19 Cliff Risk Index indicates significant uncertainty around whether this film/soundtrack will even materialize by end-2026. Without any recent price movement or trading activity, this appears to be a stale quote that should be approached cautiously given the illiquidity and binary nature of the outcome.
Resolution rules
If KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) is the #3 most streamed Album on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPALBUMTHIRDUSA-26-KPO yes 100