What is the current probability for "Will Birmingham Stallions be the UFL champion?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 19¢ (19% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 28, 2026. 67 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Birmingham Stallions be the UFL champion?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2314.0% and 127.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Birmingham Stallions be the UFL champion?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Birmingham Stallions be the UFL champion?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Will Birmingham Stallions be the UFL champion?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing June 28, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and zero open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable for actual trading.

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19¢

Bid/Ask 0/12¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $0·OI $24.85·Closes Jun 28, 2026·67d remaining

KXUFLCHAMP-26-BHM

7-day price4 snapshots · 3 regime

19¢19¢ current

Apr 161¢Apr 18

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and zero open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable for actual trading. The extreme 87¢ spread and astronomical 9618.9% implied yield on the Yes side indicate the market is essentially non-functional rather than reflecting genuine undervaluation of Birmingham's championship odds. With 72 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 19, any position here carries substantial execution risk given the complete absence of counterparty interest.

Resolution rules

If Birmingham Stallions is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2314.0%

IY (No) 127.3%

Adj IY 1157%

CRI 4

Overround 0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2314.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	127.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1157%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

12¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 8:14:30 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXUFLCHAMP-26-BHM yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →