Will UK inflation rate YoY for March 2026 be above 3.3%?

Prediction markets currently give a 78% probability that Will UK inflation rate YoY for March 2026 be above 3.3%?. This contract trades at 78¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.

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78¢
Bid/Ask 78/85¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $278.73·OI $1,313.29·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining
KXUKCPIYOY-26APR22-T3.3
7-day price275 snapshots · 23 regime
84¢78¢ current
Apr 1129¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If UK inflation rate YoY for March 2026 is above 3.3 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Adj IY >100,000%
CRI 4
RV 2469%
VR 0.78
IAR 4.3/h
Overround 6.4%
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
Adj IY>100,000%
CRI4
RV2469%
VR0.78
IAR4.3/h
Overround6.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.568
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:18:43 PM
Observability highEvent type data_release
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXUKCPIYOY-26APR22-T3.3 yes 100

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