Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Kalshi, closing November 7, 2028. This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 1261% implied yield on the Yes side versus just 1.2% on the No side, reflecting the 6% pricing that heavily discounts Sanders' VP nomination chances.
Analysis
This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 1261% implied yield on the Yes side versus just 1.2% on the No side, reflecting the 6% pricing that heavily discounts Sanders' VP nomination chances. The zero 24-hour volume combined with $48k open interest and a wide 3¢ spread suggests illiquidity and potential difficulty executing trades at posted prices. With 936 days to expiry, the high cliff risk index of 32 indicates significant event concentration risk, likely tied to the 2028 Republican convention and nomination process.
Resolution rules
If Sarah Huckabee Sanders accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXVPRESNOMR-28-SHS yes 100