Will Brainrot be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Will Brainrot be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?. This contract trades at 18¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $101 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 10¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $101 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 10¢ price potentially unreliable. The 1,427% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated due to the low price and thin market, while the 6¢ spread represents a significant friction cost relative to the contract value. With 259 days until expiration and a neutral regime, the market lacks conviction either way, though the low price suggests skepticism that "brainrot"—despite recent cultural prominence—will retain enough novelty to win Merriam-Webster's 2026 award over other emerging terms.
Resolution rules
If Brainrot is the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-BRA yes 100