Brazilian GDP (YoY) in Feb 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Brazilian GDP (YoY) in Feb 2027?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Kalshi, closing March 2, 2027. This market is severely illiquid with only $50 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market is severely illiquid with only $50 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable. The extreme 924% implied yield on the Yes side suggests either significant mispricing or that traders view >3.5% YoY GDP growth for Brazil's Q4 2026 as highly unlikely, though the neutral regime score indicates no clear directional bias. With 320 days to expiry and a wide 3¢ spread, this contract lacks sufficient trading activity to establish a credible probability estimate.
Resolution rules
If Brazilian GDP (YoY) is above 3.5% for Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBRAZILGDP-27FEB-T3.5 yes 100