ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market prices ETH below $1,000 on Jan 1, 2027 at just 6¢ with an extreme 2,675.9% implied yield on the Yes side, reflecting minimal conviction in such a severe price decline from current levels.
Analysis
This market prices ETH below $1,000 on Jan 1, 2027 at just 6¢ with an extreme 2,675.9% implied yield on the Yes side, reflecting minimal conviction in such a severe price decline from current levels. The zero 24-hour volume and $19,745.71 open interest suggest illiquidity despite the 259-day timeframe, while the recent price decline from 7¢ to 5¢ indicates modest bearish momentum that hasn't materialized into trading activity. The 2¢ spread and elevated Cliff Risk Index of 19 warrant caution, as the market's extreme skew toward the No side (7.4% yield) may mask execution challenges closer to expiration.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is below 1000.00 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXETHY-27JAN0100-T1000.00 yes 100