Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Prediction markets currently give a 70% probability that Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 70¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 70¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 2¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 70¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 2¢ spread. The astronomical implied yields—2976.8% for Yes and 16206.8% for No—reflect the micro-scale position size rather than genuine market conviction, and with just 5 days to expiry, any resolution will likely be binary. The neutral regime score (0.364) and low Cliff Risk Index (2) suggest stable conditions leading into resolution, but traders should be cautious given the illiquidity could make execution difficult at quoted prices.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 2949.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXETHD-26APR2417-T2949.99 yes 100