Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a highly unreliable price signal where the 3¢ Yes price implies an implausible 100,000% annualized yield.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a highly unreliable price signal where the 3¢ Yes price implies an implausible 100,000% annualized yield. The 2¢ spread represents 67% of the current price, and with just 6 days to expiry, the market appears to be a thin, potentially mispriced venue for a straightforward ETH price question (resolving Yes if ETH exceeds $3,030 on the specified date). The neutral regime score and moderate Cliff Risk Index of 32 suggest no immediate volatility regime shift, but the negligible liquidity makes this unsuitable for serious position-taking.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 3029.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXETHD-26APR2417-T3029.99 yes 100