Game 2: Houston at Los Angeles L Winner?

This market displays extreme yield metrics (1490% Yes, 2841% No) driven by thin liquidity ($3,206 open interest) and an unusually wide 4¢ spread, suggesting significant uncertainty or potential mispricing despite the 61¢ price favoring Houston. The 7-day price collapse from 14¢ to 58¢ represents a 314% swing, and with realized volatility at 395% and 18 days to expiry, this appears to be a highly volatile playoff matchup where late-arriving information could dramatically shift positioning. The neutral regime and 1.9 info arrivals per hour indicate active market dynamics, though the thin volume ($2,988 in 24h) raises concerns about execution risk for larger positions.

Resolution rules

If Houston wins the Game 2: Houston at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade