Game 3: New York at Atlanta Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 51% probability that Game 3: New York at Atlanta Winner?. This contract trades at 51¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026. This market shows extreme volatility with realized volatility at 941% and an implied yield of 2537.6% on the Yes side, reflecting the binary nature and short 19-day timeframe to a specific playoff game.
Analysis
This market shows extreme volatility with realized volatility at 941% and an implied yield of 2537.6% on the Yes side, reflecting the binary nature and short 19-day timeframe to a specific playoff game. The price has collapsed from 22¢ to 43¢ over seven days, suggesting a significant shift in betting sentiment toward New York, though liquidity remains thin at $1,512.16 open interest with modest $742.87 daily volume. The 2¢ spread and neutral regime score indicate relatively balanced positioning despite the dramatic price movement, though the high cliff risk index and information arrival rate of 2.1/hour suggest this market could experience sharp moves as game day approaches.
Resolution rules
If Atlanta wins the Game 3: New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBAGAME-26APR23NYKATL-ATL yes 100