Game 3: Oklahoma City at Phoenix Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 87% probability that Game 3: Oklahoma City at Phoenix Winner?. This contract trades at 87¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $3.13 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a dangerously wide 34¢ spread and inflated yield metrics (1677.8% on Yes, 1817.6% on No) that don't reflect realistic trading conditions.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $3.13 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a dangerously wide 34¢ spread and inflated yield metrics (1677.8% on Yes, 1817.6% on No) that don't reflect realistic trading conditions. The 87¢ price implies Oklahoma City is heavily favored, yet the market's minimal depth and cliff risk index of 1 suggest the quoted price may not hold under any meaningful trade size. With 21 days to expiry and negligible price movement over seven days (50¢ to 51¢), this appears to be a stale, illiquid contract where the high yields are artifacts of low volume rather than genuine opportunities.
Resolution rules
If Oklahoma City wins the Game 3: Oklahoma City at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBAGAME-26APR25OKCPHX-OKC yes 100