How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be?

Prediction markets currently give a 91% probability that How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be?. This contract trades at 91¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market is essentially illiquid with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 91¢ price potentially unreliable despite the high implied probability.

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91¢
Bid/Ask 83/92¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $2·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining
KXALBUMLENGTH-26DEC31-40

Analysis

4d ago

This market is essentially illiquid with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 91¢ price potentially unreliable despite the high implied probability. The extreme 641.6% implied yield on the No side suggests severe mispricing or a lack of belief in the contract's validity—likely reflecting uncertainty about whether Drake will actually release an album with this specific title. With 259 days to expiry and a 6¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative contract with minimal market confidence, as evidenced by the neutral regime score and the negligible trading activity.

Resolution rules

If Drake's album titled 'Iceman' is At least 40 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 29.4%
IY (No) 700.6%
Adj IY 350%
CRI 5
Overround 4.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)29.4%
IY (No)700.6%
Adj IY350%
CRI5
Overround4.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:12:27 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXALBUMLENGTH-26DEC31-40 yes 100

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