How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be?

Prediction markets currently give a 84% probability that How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be?. This contract trades at 84¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 17¢ spread, suggesting it may be newly listed or lack trader interest.

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84¢
Bid/Ask 71/83¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $34·OI $34·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining
KXALBUMLENGTH-26DEC31-55
7-day price21 snapshots · 2 regime
71¢71¢ current
Apr 861¢Apr 21

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 17¢ spread, suggesting it may be newly listed or lack trader interest. The 86¢ Yes price implies a very high probability that Drake's "Iceman" album will exceed 55 minutes, but the asymmetric yield profile (86.3% for Yes versus 229.7% for No) indicates significant uncertainty among the few participants willing to price it. With 259 days until expiry and no recent price discovery, this market appears speculative and potentially mispriced given Drake's typical album lengths.

Resolution rules

If Drake's album titled 'Iceman' is At least 55 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 58.6%
IY (No) 351.3%
Adj IY 176%
CRI 2
Overround 4.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)58.6%
IY (No)351.3%
Adj IY176%
CRI2
Overround4.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
12¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:12:18 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXALBUMLENGTH-26DEC31-55 yes 100

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