MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Prediction markets currently give a 78% probability that MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 78¢ on Polymarket, closing July 1, 2026.
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78¢Bid/Ask 77/78¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $29,471.286·OI $47,583.435·Closes Jul 1, 2026·70d remaining
0xc0336e4897d2d044c0bcc234f72248ef7db97dca69f0caf1666a67ca55034b65
7-day price195 snapshots · 106 regime
81¢78¢ current
Apr 845¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:19:43 PM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM
Trade
View on polymarket →
sf trade 0xc0336e4897d2d044c0bcc234f72248ef7db97dca69f0caf1666a67ca55034b65 yes 100