Will Eugenio Suarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?

Prediction markets currently give a 44% probability that Will Eugenio Suarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?. This contract trades at 44¢ on Polymarket, closing December 19, 2026. This market displays severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and an unusually wide 87¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in Suarez's 44% odds despite 247 days to expiry.

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44¢
Bid/Ask /87¢·Spread 87¢·Vol $0·OI $1,247.466·Closes Dec 19, 2026·241d remaining
0xdeed0cc729891e84e310ae3e0d8cf4462ae5c91525d78b4d10a0c48faea7c1e9
7-day price51 snapshots · 4 regime
44¢44¢ current
Apr 1430¢Apr 18

Analysis

5d ago

This market displays severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and an unusually wide 87¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in Suarez's 44% odds despite 247 days to expiry. The 188% implied yield on the yes side and extreme 227% realized volatility indicate high uncertainty around both Suarez's 2026 performance and the broader DH award race, though the neutral regime score suggests no clear directional bias. The $1.1k open interest is modest for a major sports award market, and the stagnant 7-day price movement (43¢ to 44¢) reinforces that this contract remains largely dormant and potentially mispriced due to lack of discovery.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 192.6%
IY (No) 118.9%
Adj IY 96%
CRI 1
Overround 8.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)192.6%
IY (No)118.9%
Adj IY96%
CRI1
Overround8.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
87¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:16:23 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xdeed0cc729891e84e310ae3e0d8cf4462ae5c91525d78b4d10a0c48faea7c1e9 yes 100

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