Will Jurickson Profar win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Jurickson Profar win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing December 19, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 85¢ spread despite 247 days to expiration, suggesting minimal trader interest in Profar's DH Award prospects.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 85¢ spread despite 247 days to expiration, suggesting minimal trader interest in Profar's DH Award prospects. The 196% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and likely reflects the wide bid-ask gap rather than genuine expected returns, while the realized volatility of 18,299% indicates this is an inactive, thinly-traded position. At 43¢ with only $1,126 in open interest, this market lacks sufficient depth to be a reliable price discovery mechanism for Profar's actual award probability.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
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Trade
sf trade 0x6a127f087540e61229a404910ada18bd809dfb02a0651198d99cdd5fe835749e yes 100