Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5
Prediction markets currently give a 86% probability that Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5. This contract trades at 86¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. The market is pricing a combined goal total of 2+ at 84¢, implying a heavily favored Over outcome, yet the zero 24-hour volume and $97.7k open interest suggest minimal recent conviction despite the sharp 53¢ to 84¢ price surge over seven days.
Analysis
The market is pricing a combined goal total of 2+ at 84¢, implying a heavily favored Over outcome, yet the zero 24-hour volume and $97.7k open interest suggest minimal recent conviction despite the sharp 53¢ to 84¢ price surge over seven days. The extreme yield asymmetry (1026% Yes vs. 28280% No) combined with a 15¢ spread and elevated realized volatility of 1252% indicates significant uncertainty beneath the surface, with the Cliff Risk Index of 5 suggesting potential for sharp repricing as the April 22 match approaches.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming MLS game between Real Salt Lake and Inter Miami CF, scheduled for April 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Real Salt Lake and Inter Miami CF combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
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Trade
sf trade 0x8b7603ad0356ab388cdbfd2c77a4763ee927eb34108693036accab5a63b2aa96 yes 100