Will the housing market crash?

█████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
43%
20 markets·Kalshi + Polymarket

Analysis

The US housing market is currently stable with the Case-Shiller Home Price Index reflecting a 0.91% year-over-year increase, signaling no immediate evidence of a widespread crash. While homebuilder sentiment is mixed as indicated by flat to positive trading in housing ETFs like ITB and XHB, prediction markets see very low probability for significant downward volatility in international benchmarks like Dubai's real estate sector.

  • Case-Shiller Index +0.91% YoY
  • Homebuilder ETFs mixed performance
  • Low liquidity for Dubai market crash
  • Stable Fed Funds Rate at 3.64%

Contracts

Bamin Real Potosí vs. Club Guabirá - More Markets: O/U 2.5

P$1K
58¢

Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets: O/U 2.5

P$791
67¢

Bamin Real Potosí vs. Club Guabirá - More Markets: O/U 3.5

P$154
33¢

Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)

P$125
16¢

Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)

P$122
11¢

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?: ↓ 8,000

P$100
17¢

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?: ↑ 14,000

P$76
81¢

Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)

P$29
23¢

Bamin Real Potosí vs. Club Guabirá - More Markets: Both Teams to Score

P$10
56¢

Bamin Real Potosí vs. Club Guabirá - More Markets: O/U 1.5

P$2
79¢

Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets: O/U 1.5

P$2
86¢

CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club The Strongest - More Markets: O/U 4.5

P$0
28¢

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets: O/U 1.5

P$0
78¢

CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club The Strongest - More Markets: Club The Strongest (-1.5)

P$0
30¢

CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. CDT Real Oruro - More Markets: CDT Real Oruro (-2.5)

P$0
11¢

CDT Real Oruro vs. Club The Strongest - More Markets: CDT Real Oruro (-2.5)

P$0
34¢

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)

P$0
12¢

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets: O/U 2.5

P$0
64¢

Bamin Real Potosí vs. Club Guabirá - More Markets: Club Guabirá (-1.5)

P$0
8¢

CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club The Strongest - More Markets: Both Teams to Score

P$0
67¢

More in Economy & Fed