Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by April 30?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 54¢ spread despite only $28.4k open interest, suggesting the 32¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The implied yield of 4410% on the "Yes" side is extraordinarily high and likely reflects the wide bid-ask spread rather than genuine probability assessment, while the realized volatility of 4665% indicates EVIV has experienced wild swings that make a 90 threshold plausible. With only 15 days to expiry and the price having doubled from 18¢ to 36¢ over seven days, this appears to be a thin, speculative market where the extreme yields signal pricing dysfunction rather than attractive opportunity.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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