When will Glean IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that When will Glean IPO?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing December 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 1294% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 23¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus but rather a stale quote.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 1294% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 23¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus but rather a stale quote. The 9¢ spread is notably wide relative to the contract value, and the sharp 7-day decline from 13¢ to 11¢ indicates recent skepticism about a Glean IPO within the 228-day window. The high cliff risk index of 8 combined with the neutral regime suggests significant uncertainty around binary IPO timing, making this an illiquid, potentially mispriced market with limited actionable depth.
Resolution rules
If Glean confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOGLEAN-26DEC01 yes 100