Will De'Von Achane be traded?

34¢
Bid/Ask 2/65¢·Spread 63¢·Vol $0·OI $12.763·Closes Jul 22, 2026·95d remaining
0x7e5dfc792390e4667149853bea2b49741b94f415e3478905b4679b9426edbdd6
7-day price1603 snapshots · 5 regime
53¢22¢Apr 8Apr 18

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with a 92¢ spread, zero 24-hour volume, and only $4.34 open interest, making the 48¢ price unreliable for genuine probability assessment. The 507.6% implied yield on the "Yes" side and extraordinary 10004% realized volatility suggest the market has experienced severe mispricing events or minimal trading activity that distorts standard metrics. With 95 days to expiry and an 8.6/hour information arrival rate, this appears to be a thinly-traded niche market where any meaningful position would face significant execution challenges.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NFL player is traded by July 22, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 417.7%
IY (No) 355.9%
Adj IY 418%
CRI 1
RV 9717%
VR 32.60
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)417.7%
IY (No)355.9%
Adj IY418%
CRI1
RV9717%
VR32.60
IAR8.5/h
Overround1.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
63¢
Computed
4/18/2026, 8:21:13 AM
Indicators computed 4/18/2026, 8:08:23 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x7e5dfc792390e4667149853bea2b49741b94f415e3478905b4679b9426edbdd6 yes 100

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